23 November 2009

Who’s it gonna be?

Political pundits are now cashing on survey results to validate their claims that the certain Presidential aspirant is indeed leading in the polls. I really do not believe in surveys because surveys are primarily sponsored by a certain individuals or organization. Aside from that, surveys do not represent the whole segment of society. In fact, most of the survey’s sample sizes are only limited to 1,000 respondents and are mostly conducted in Metro Manila, or are only limited to highly urbanized cities in the country. In short, they do not speak for the whole country. The margins of errors in the surveys are not mentioned.

Political strategists of would of course, promote their candidates. In the case of LP, they’re already feeding people with false information that Noynoy Aquino is indeed the leading candidate. I once heard JPE saying that the noise about Noynoy is farce since there was not even mention of Noynoy in his provincial sorties. I would have to say that Manny Villar is the most visible presidential candidate of them all. I was in the Philippines last August and September and I tell you, he’s been everywhere. He was in Davao, Cagayan de Oro and any part of the Philippines. He even sponsored some of the wowowee shows in the provinces. Bayani Fernando’s tarpaulin can also be found everywhere. When I was in Bukidnon, I was surprised to see his tarpaulin near Musuan Peak (Central Mindanao University) in Valencia, Bukidnon.

Manny’s Villar’s NP has the resources and could launch a grass root campaign. Gibo’s Lakas-Kampi also has the resources and its members are the incumbents in their respective LGUs. Noynoy Aquino’s LP presence is only in the highly urbanized cities and could hardly support a grassroots campaign. Erap Estrada will never be taken seriously since there’s a big possibility that his candidacy will be questioned.

So, who’s it gonna be? Well, it’s too early to say. The serious bets did not even file their candidacy yet. We still have 6 months before the presidential election. We will still hear the usual bickering and name calling from the candidates. It’s still up to us people to choose so we have to choose wisely.

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